Go Away In May?

I have several friends that are do-it-yourself investors (you know who you are).  I hear their stories of moving between mutual funds in their 401k accounts.  Or they bought this stock and sold that stock.  Some investors even believe in selling everything in May!  However, just being in the markets is enough for most people.  Play along, keep expenses low and avoid stupid mistakes with your money by leaving it alone!  The chart below was created by American Funds and helps visualize why you should not sell out of your investments (even when the markets go down).

American Funds

So what do you say…should you “sell in May and go away?”

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The Big Bang Theory – On money…

The Big Bang Theory is one of my favorite television shows!  My wife and I had several years where we would put the kids to bed and then watch a couple hours of syndicated episodes on TBS (since kids don’t allow for primetime television!).  So naturally, when I saw an article written by executive producer, Dave Goetsch, that had to do with finances…it became a must read.

Turns out it is one of the better articles about the market I have read in a long time.

Now and Then

By Dave Goetsch

Dave Goetsch, Executive Producer of  The Big Bang Theory, reflects on his investment experience in the recent market downturn and contrasts his new perspective with memories of the 2008-2009 financial crisis.

Seeing all the recent headlines about the sudden downturn in the stock market has transported me back to February of 2009, when I was close to despair. It’s striking how different I feel now.

In February 2009, the stock market was down around 50% from its high, and everyone seemed to feel like the sky was falling. I was familiar with this state of panic because my relationship to the financial markets was that I didn’t trust them.

They were always going up and down in ways no one could predict, and I couldn’t trust those folks who said that they could anticipate what was going to happen. So when the market went down, I went down with it—sinking into a depression, knowing there was nothing I could do.

What a difference nine years make. I haven’t changed because the stock market rebounded. I changed because I learned that there was a different way to think about investing. I was right not to trust those people who thought they could predict what was going to happen in the markets, but I was wrong in thinking that there was nothing to do. I’ve learned that I can have a great investment experience if I just accept a few simple truths.

I have to understand the uncertainty of the market. The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, has returned about 10% per year over the last 90 years,1 but there are very few individual years in which it has ever actually returned that amount. In fact, how many of those 90 years do you think the S&P 500 was up more than 20% or down more than 20% for that year? The answer is 40. Astounding, right? I wish somebody had explained that to me decades ago. Then I would have known to look at stock market returns in terms of decades—not years, months, days, or hours. I would understand that so many of those articles and cable news pieces are just noise, designed to keep an audience obsessed and unsettled.

I haven’t changed because the stock market rebounded. I changed because I learned that there was a different way to think about investing.

In order to be a long-term investor, you have to have a long time horizon. This can be hard to remember when you’re being assaulted by noise, but if you can stay strong, the results are stunning. By results, I don’t mean the investment returns, which hopefully are good. The return I’m talking about is how I feel every day. I worry less—not just about the future, but also about the present. Of course, I know that there are no guarantees when it comes to investing, but I feel like I’m going to be okay. I have a plan.

There’s no way I could’ve done this without a financial advisor. I needed someone who could not just talk me through what my asset allocation should be, but also help me work through how I felt about investing and what exactly I could do to change my perspective.

I was a mess nine years ago. Now, my outlook is totally different. The markets haven’t changed; they still go up and down. The difference is, I don’t anymore.

What Is In Your Home?

pexels-photo-534151.jpegIf I asked you to list the entire contents of your home, could you do it?  Do you know the make and model of your TV (or how many), refrigerator, or electric tooth brush?  How many sets of bed linens?  Exactly how many shoes do you own?  What about all the belongings in the garage or shed out back?

I hope you never have to answer these questions but in the event of a disaster or theft, this may be just the information that your insurance company could be looking for.  So how would you answer?

Taking a home inventory can be as high-tech or low-tech as you would like.

At a minimum, I suggest walking around the house with a camera and taking photographs in each room.  Better yet, use a video recorder and walk around the house shooting video as you open up your drawers and cabinets to get a full record.  Just be sure to keep these photos or videos outside your home!

There are also a lot of apps for iPhone and Android that can help you.  Some will guide you through the process and will help you collect make and model numbers.  Some now even send you recall alerts on your electronics and appliances.

Click your appropriate system for a review of several top-rated apps:
Apple:  https://www.thebalance.com/best-home-inventory-apps-ios-1294003
Android: https://www.thebalance.com/top-home-inventory-apps-for-android-1294002

While this may seem like a mundane task, it is amazing what the teenagers in your life will do for $20!  Whether low-tech or high-tech, having a record could come in handy some day!

Must Do Year End Tax Moves

Tax PlanningIf you itemize your income tax deductions (meaning you deduct your mortgage interest, property taxes, charitable deductions, etc.) you could be in for a big surprise next year!  Congress just changed the tax law for 2018 and beyond.  Many people that currently deduct the above items will no longer be able to starting next year and should take action before 12/31/2017.

So what should you be doing?

  • Reach out to your county auditor to find out how much you owe for next year
  • Visit your treasurer’s office to pay the bill before 12/31 to claim your deduction this year.
  • Make your charitable donations this year!
    • From a tax standpoint, your charitable donations are not likely to help your tax situation in 2018.  So clean out the house now and make those last minute gifts to Goodwill or your favorite charity.
    • Most people underestimate how much their clothes and furniture could be worth.  Take a look at The Salvation Army’s Valuation Guide here.

2018 Ohio Tax Changes

Without much press, Governor Kasich signed the budget bill into law with a couple of changes that impact individuals in Ohio.

  • Small Business Owners will continue to receive favorable tax treatment with 100% of business income deductible up to $250k per year.  Above that level, it is taxed at a flat 3%.
  • Parents with Kids in College will receive a nice perk when the Ohio CollegeAdvantage 529 deduction raises from $2,000/yr to $4,000/yr.
  • All Taxpayers will benefit from the inflation adjustments to the tax brackets and personal exemptions for 2017 and 2018.  Some may benefit from the elimination of the bottom 2 tax brackets (now 7 brackets instead of 9).

There were also changes to the sales and use taxes, municipal income tax and Commercial Activity Tax (CAT Tax).  To read a summary of all the changes from the Ohio Society of CPA’s click HERE.

To discuss how to take advantage of the Small Bussiness Owners credit or the new higher limits on college savings contact me!

Congressional Tax Changes

2017-Stamp-400x267Are you confused by all the discussion in Washington around the tax changes?  Welcome to the club!  I have read numerous articles outlining how taxes may change or what might happen.  HERE is one of the best (and most recent) articles I have found.

As with any tax reform, there will be winners and losers but a simplification of the code is certainly needed.  I always stress to my clients the importance of flexibility in times of uncertainty.  Work with your tax professional, or give me a call, to discuss strategies to put you in the in best available position no matter what changes occur.

 

Equifax Security Breach

EquifaxEquifax had a data breach that potentially impacted over 143 million people. The company has offered free credit monitoring to everyone…sounds good right?!?! However, by signing up for free credit monitoring, you may be giving up your rights to participate in any class action lawsuit!

Here’s the language:

Arbitration

or check out this article: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-some-equifax-customers-have-unwittingly-waived-their-rights-to-a-class-action-lawsuit-2017-09-08

If that doesn’t make you made, what about the three Equifax executives who sold shares of their stock after the breach, but before telling the public?

Read this article from NPR: http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/09/08/549434187/3-equifax-executives-sold-stock-days-after-hack-that-wasnt-disclosed-for-a-month